Why the Roman Empire Can't Conquer the World

This is a thread just on why the Roman Empire HAD to be slow to innovate and incrasingly closed socially, and slowly lose both turf and cred, as it was OTL. It's partly a continuation of an earlier argument on this Archimedes Invents Gumpowder thread here, and partly a response to this new thread that throws down a gauntlet on the subject.

Most people don't know what a different records Republican Rome and Imperial Rome stacked up.

Let's start with the borders. I have Penguin's Atlases of Ancient and Medieval History, a series of maps by increasing date. While Republican Rome has its low points, like when Hannibal showed up, they don't last long overall, and you mostly see continued conquest, bwaha, and growth. The Empire, after a century or two of growth, begins to shrink, and stays that way except occasional temporary regainings of turf like in Justinian's time and moving around of the borders; it keeps shrinking until it's just Constantinople for awhile, then it's Istanbul, part of the Ottoman Empire, and bye-bye Roman Empire.

When it started, the Empire was tolerant as empires go, and at the top of the military game. At the end, it was as tolerant as the Taliban, and the city was lost by being ouinnovated getting cannon. That's no accident - smart conquerors and military innovators under the Republic were welcomed, and allowed to become powerful if successful, while pretty much every Kings and Emperor there's been and their high officials lived in fear of innovators overshadowing them and rarely let it happen. Virtually all Imperial novelty was started by Emperors, while Republican Rome gave alot of freedom to elite thinkers and innovators.

Though, even the early Empire already wasn't as good conquering things as the Republic. The Varus who lost Germany for the Empah seems to've won first his consulship too early, by being an Imperial crony rather than good; and gotten his governorship of Germany the same way. Not so many Republican-era proconsuls were stupid enough to lead their forces into forces into traps, where the opponents had so much advantage, like Varus in Germany. And, the Republic persisted and kept retrying almost indefinitely (MUST CONQUER WORLD!) even when it made these mistakes, especially in putting down rebellions from already-conquered turf like Varus was doing. Those inferiorities persisted to Empire's end.

So, where were we in our arguments from Archimedes? Ah, here:

Cornelius wrote:
First: beware of ancient historians. They ALWAYS writed to demonstrate some ideological point.
Not all classical ones did. The modern notion of evidence-driven history, in which participants in action are listened to or interviewed for evidence and point of view, seems to've been started by one Thucidydes of Athens in his famous and still-selling Peloponnesian War history. He had many intellectual successors who looked upon history similarly and were similarly disciplined about evidence, including this Polybius dude I brought up. Certainly, everybody's biased - Thucydides' was a Pericles supporter, Polybius' supported several Roman elites of his day, just as I'm an Obama supporter. That said, each of them was trying to pay attention to the best evidence available as a route to get closer to the truth, just as the better modern historians do.

Like so many other aspects of innovation, of course, you have to have alot of freedom of speech to have real historians. Most period historians ARE hopeless, as you say - either they've been courtiers who praised their subjects to the sky or were careful to praise every aristocrat living, and avoid any awkward truths. And, there've always been those who mostly wanted to sell books.

>The fairer your economy and country are, the more civil liberties it
> has, the more widely power's checked, the more money, fewer
> problems, and more innovations your country's likely to have.

There are many examples of the contrary also.
I concede that history shows multipolar balance is more important than freedom. The balanced-oligarchic Sparta beat the freer and more innovative, but politically unbalanced Athens. BUT, there's nothing balanced about monarchy or the Roman Empire.

There's also a series of examples, including Archimides' catapults, the Wermacht's blitzkriegs, and, of course, the Early Roman Empire under argument here, which involve innovation while free, and then major use of those technologies by dictators. Then the innovation slows dramatically until some freedom returns.

Beyond those concessions, let's see anybody name three counterexamples.
 
Basileus Giorgios wrote
Greek Fire from the ERE
Assyrian Artilery (mentioned in biblical sources) from Royal Assyria
Onager catapult (middle Roman Empire)

...except, none of that's enough to contradict my claims. Nowhere did I ever write monarchies or the Empire couldn't invent atall; just that they tended to be slower than freer and more balanced societies.

And none of that begins to get at my last point, which is much more complicated. First, you need to have two societies to compare against, one liberal and the other monarchic. Second, you need to look at particular time periods. Third, you need to look at invention rate - if Assyria's invented catapult v1 while Athens or Achaean League have invented catapultsv2 AND poetry, Assyria still loses. Fourth, weight class can't be totally out of scale. Something like our Cold War where the unfree won other than Athens v Sparta would be good.
 
Hmm, well I am not sure. I think they had the potential certainly to conquer alot of the world (NOT the entire world true-they would have to last to present day or so to do that). One Alternate History Historian in the "What If" military series points out that everything after Varus (especially right after) Rome went on the defensive (Hadrian, Trajan being the ones of the defense and being competant) and had the sort of defensive mentality.
 
Hmm, well I am not sure. I think they had the potential certainly to conquer alot of the world (NOT the entire world true-they would have to last to present day or so to do that). One Alternate History Historian in the "What If" military series points out that everything after Varus (especially right after) Rome went on the defensive (Hadrian, Trajan being the ones of the defense and being competant) and had the sort of defensive mentality.

Why do you think that for some reason, securing Germany means being able to conquer most of the world?

And the Romans did not become defensive so to speak. They went offensive whenever they have the chance to do so. The Dacian Campaign? Julians invasion into Persia?

Also, I would like to point out that relying on what if 'historians' to argue is not a wise choice.

Look, most of the time, a alternate history fiction is just a simple fictional story. The Author of that story is able to twist history into his or her liking. Don't like something? They can be butterflied away and etc.
 
Why the Roman Empire Can't Conquer the World

Who said that they could do it?
The roman empire was already stretched in the moment of his foundation (1st century). The critical factor here is the ability to mantain a steady flow of communications among the various provinces, while granting to the central goverment the possibility to quikly intervene. Still the roman empire expanded its borders. The whole argument about going on the defensive after Varus is wrong. The empire conquered Britannia, Mauretania, Thracia and Arabia Nabatea after Teutoburgh...
Anyway the idea that an empire could go on expanding forever belongs only to wargames: things like burocracy, communications and goverment tend to fall down after a while (unless you have modern technologies, of course)

When it started, the Empire was tolerant as empires go, and at the top of the military game. At the end, it was as tolerant as the Taliban, and the city was lost by being ouinnovated getting cannon. That's no accident - smart conquerors and military innovators under the Republic were welcomed, and allowed to become powerful if successful, while pretty much every Kings and Emperor there's been and their high officials lived in fear of innovators overshadowing them and rarely let it happen. Virtually all Imperial novelty was started by Emperors, while Republican Rome gave alot of freedom to elite thinkers and innovators.

As in the other thread, Jkay, you base your judgment on appearence. The republic wasn't the homus novus paradise, it was completely based on nepotism, favoritism and clientelarism (romans actually invented the word...). If you look closely to republic history, you'll find plenty of evidence for incompetent leaders who got defeated. And don't think that Sulla, Pompeus or Ceasar would have welcomed a new military genius.

Again, you forget to consider the proper impact of economy and demography into your equation: your nation can be free, but if its economy won't sustain its armies, she's doomed (example Florentine republic late 15th century)

Cornelius wrote:
Quote:
First: beware of ancient historians. They ALWAYS writed to demonstrate some ideological point.
Not all classical ones did. The modern notion of evidence-driven history, in which participants in action are listened to or interviewed for evidence and point of view, seems to've been started by one Thucidydes of Athens in his famous and still-selling Peloponnesian War history. He had many intellectual successors who looked upon history similarly and were similarly disciplined about evidence, including this Polybius dude I brought up.

First: I'd rather like if you didn't extrapolate my comments outside their context.
Second: I was merely stating that you should consider historians works cum grano salis and not like gospel...

Thucydides' was a Pericles supporter, Polybius' supported several Roman elites of his day, just as I'm an Obama supporter.

They were on their paybook, something a little different... Anyway the point is that they wrote from a moral point of view while modern historiography tries to be as much impartial as possible.

There's also a series of examples, including Archimides' catapults, the Wermacht's blitzkriegs, and, of course, the Early Roman Empire under argument here, which involve innovation while free, and then major use of those technologies by dictators. Then the innovation slows dramatically until some freedom returns.

Archimedes lived under Dyonisus, a tyrant. Blitzkrieg was invented in 1938 Germany (a free country, of course :p) and you don't consider the roman empire that free...
The problem here is what you consider free or not. The kind of freedom we enjoy has been relativly widespread only in this century. Even UK or USA in the 19th century would appear to us as repressive if we could take a trip then...
 
Most people don't know what a different records Republican Rome and Imperial Rome stacked up.

No, the big difference is between pre and post 3rd century Rome, the latter faced considerably greater external threats

Let's start with the borders. I have Penguin's Atlases of Ancient and Medieval History, a series of maps by increasing date. While Republican Rome has its low points, like when Hannibal showed up, they don't last long overall, and you mostly see continued conquest, bwaha, and growth. The Empire, after a century or two of growth, begins to shrink, and stays that way except occasional temporary regainings of turf like in Justinian's time and moving around of the borders; it keeps shrinking until it's just Constantinople for awhile, then it's Istanbul, part of the Ottoman Empire, and bye-bye Roman Empire.

Oh gawd, what is this? The Empire retained all the territory it inherited for 300 years, this hardly points to a flawed system.

When it started, the Empire was tolerant as empires go, and at the top of the military game. At the end, it was as tolerant as the Taliban, and the city was lost by being ouinnovated getting cannon. That's no accident - smart conquerors and military innovators under the Republic were welcomed, and allowed to become powerful if successful, while pretty much every Kings and Emperor there's been and their high officials lived in fear of innovators overshadowing them and rarely let it happen. Virtually all Imperial novelty was started by Emperors, while Republican Rome gave alot of freedom to elite thinkers and innovators.

This ia a) a sweeping generalisation and b) inaccurate. The Imperial regime had remarkably little day to day control over life and couldn't have done if it wanted to. The Empire remained an advanced and innovative and specialised economy until around the year 400AD when external threats closed in. Standards of living remained phenomenal in many ways -standardised productd such as vases and tiles and high food production.

Those inferiorities persisted to Empire's end..

Hmm, ever heard of Crassus? You have provided an individual example, it hardly proves your point. All pre-modern societies depended on clientelism.

BUT, there's nothing balanced about monarchy or the Roman Empire.

Okay, do you understand how pre-modern societies function politically? They are all essentially one-party states using patronage to keep the elits in line and factional conflict at the centre to resolve policy disputes. If the Empire was unbalanced it would not have lasted four hundred years in the West, two hundred more in the East and then six hundred in the form of a serious success state. Nor would monarchy in the European sense have had its 1000+ year history.
 
I must confess a general distrust in *any* world-spanning empire or even the "megawank" empires of Drakalike proportion.

Alot of this distrust admittedly stems from my personal areas of knowledge which are more generalized. Math may support a concept for unending growth, but nature does not. Any population will eventually have to plateau or will outgrow its resources. Any massive economic growth can and usually does bubble and collapse. In electromagnetics (my main area) standing waves cause burnout.

The general theory I've always seen in AH wanks is conquest bringing population and resources bringing more conquest in a self-feeding feedback network, which is remarkably similar IIRC to the Hitlerian War Economy theory, which of course self destructed when it reached too far.

Looking at OTL's great empires you generally need some sort of vacuum to fill for continent-spanners and every major empire has eventually fallen under its own weight. The sole exception is China which seems to exist in the minds of its people even when fragmented and warring. And even China has only rarely grown larger than current OTL borders (which remain disputed, i.e. Tibet).

So while I admit I'm not primarily a historian my gut feelings just make me distrust anything that ends up with supercalafragilistic mega-wank ultra-states.

Re: Rome. I assume there's some sort of maximum possible or realistic extent. That's why the Vistula-Dnieper always sat well with me. Now, socio-economic hegemony over western Eurasia and North/East Africa seems possible, even likely for short periods. But "Mississippi to Mekong" Rome seems ASB.
 
Cornelius wrote:
As in the other thread, Jkay, you base your judgment on appearence. The republic wasn't the homus novus paradise, it was completely based on nepotism, favoritism and clientelarism (romans actually invented the word...). If you look closely to republic history, you'll find plenty of evidence for incompetent leaders who got defeated. And don't think that Sulla, Pompeus or Ceasar would have welcomed a new military genius.
I based my argument on OBSERVED PERFORMANCE, of course. And, I'm afraid your bit about paradise lies firmly in your imagination, where paradise actually lies, I guess, so maybe it isn't SO inappropriate. Of course the Republic was error-prone and corrupt. All I've ever claimed is that the Empire was EVEN WORSE than the Republic before its failure to warlorddom, corruptionwise, smartswise, and persistencewise, and how it treated its little people.

> Thucydides' was a Pericles supporter, Polybius' supported several Roman elites of his day, just as I'm an Obama supporter.

They were on their paybook, something a little different... Anyway the point is that they wrote from a moral point of view while modern historiography tries to be as much impartial as possible.
Either you haven't actually read them, or you're trying to discredit the evidence and arguments. Which is it? It's the thing I hate most about politics and DC. So, remember, Galileo was a heretic, and that bomb that off went over Japan was illusion because Hitler said it was all Jewish science. NOT.

Wozza wrote:
No, the big difference is between pre and post 3rd century Rome, the latter faced considerably greater external threats
By ratio of size, the Republic certainly faced much bigger threats and persisted and innovated in the face of them, mostly managing to keep the borders advancing as well. They even managed to move from strict land-orientation to owning the Med in the Punic Wars, QUITE the change in thinking. By contrast, the Empire failed to develop any answer to the light, fast nomad horse raiders that pressured its borders over a millenium. The Empire's borders were being nibbled at

Okay, do you understand how pre-modern societies function politically? They are all essentially one-party states using patronage to keep the elits in line and factional conflict at the centre to resolve policy disputes. If the Empire was unbalanced it would not have lasted four hundred years in the West, two hundred more in the East and then six hundred in the form of a serious success state. Nor would monarchy in the European sense have had its 1000+ year history.
That's not actually true. Remember, there were classical democracies in Greece, and most of them had vigorous multiparty systems, with exceptions like the first representative democracy, which probably failed to empire for lack of an opposition party. Rome didn't have political parties, but it did have liberal and conservative politicians. Except, that's not really what I'm talking about here. One of the less-appreciated features of our Constitution is its parceling out of power between three poles of power. Even though it's just different high elites, the competitiveness turns out to be enough to make this in practice utterly key. Sparta had that in its constitution, and Rome learned from them, and was founded already with a two-way balance between King Romulus and the Senate. It was a five-way balance by the time the Republic failed.

Yep, I concede that the Roman and Chinese Empires and European monarchies lasted a LONG time - but it was a static long time which only served their rulers well, at the expense of their slowly shrinking masses.


And, plus, Genghis, big on the side of entropy we also have arrogance - Hitler did well when he felt threatened, but after he could see he'd won France, he made massive mistake after massive mistake, Including invading Russia prematurely, the SAME mistake Napoleon made, with the same results.
 
By ratio of size, the Republic certainly faced much bigger threats and persisted and innovated in the face of them, mostly managing to keep the borders advancing as well. They even managed to move from strict land-orientation to owning the Med in the Punic Wars, QUITE the change in thinking. By contrast, the Empire failed to develop any answer to the light, fast nomad horse raiders that pressured its borders over a millenium. The Empire's borders were being nibbled at

No. Sassanid Persia was the most dangerous of all the Empire's opponents, since the early Sassanid Kings consciously modelled their style of governance on that of the Roman Empire. Compare this to the Republic, in its "great" period of expansion, and what do we have?

Carthage- A merchantile city state, that was extremelly wealthy but utterly lacking in the ability to deploy large professional armies, and supply them for a long period.
Macedon- A corrupt kingdom with delusions of grandeur, widely hated by many of those it ruled over (ie the still "independent" Greek city states)
The Seleucid Empire- Tried to be all things to all people, both Persian and Greek, and was regarded as a traitor by both. Vast territorial extent with enemies on all fronts; Rome and Egypt in the west, Parthia and Maurayans in the east, and lots of others, like Armenia and Pontus in between. Decline was inevitable.
Ptolemaic Egypt- Exhausted by long wars with the Seleucids and so was unable to throw off Roman hegemony when effective Seleucid power ended.
Gaul/Spain- Disorganised barbarian tribes, occasionally capable of uniting under a great leader like Vercingetorix, but generally ideal for the purposes of "divide and rule"

Now let's compare with the foes the Empire had to face after about 200AD.

Sassanid Persia- Dynamic and well organised absolute monarchy based on a Roman system. Established its own monotheistic state religion, professional army, and network of highways. Heather argues that the return of a well organised Persian Empire to middle eastern politics CAUSED the third century crisis in the Empire, because it was the first time the Romans confronted an enemy that could defeat them easily, and huge sums of money had to be diverted into the East, causing rampant inflation etc. By the fourth century, over a third of total imperial revenues were being spent on the Eastern frontier.

The Huns- The first barbarians to actually set out to build an empire, who arrived at a time when the empire had already mortgaged itself to the hilt to pay for fending off the Persian threat. Attilla and co. did not want an Empire in the traditional sense however; they instead caused chaos in Rome by pushing Germanic groups over the Rhine-Danube frontier, and using the ensuing chaos to establish dominance.

The Caliphates- Powerful and well organised states that were able to overcome a plague ridden and war exhausted Roman Empire through the seventh century. The astonishing thing about this is that the Romans were able to hold out at all; the Arabs held the resources of, to compare, Carthage, Egypt and the Seleucids combined, plus more besides. The appearance of a foe like this would have simply brought down the Republic I think, or indeed the Empire itself, were it still based in Rome; it was only saved by Constantinople's walls, Greek Fire, and the Thematic System.

And, may it be noted, that for the East Romans, the period from around 850 to 1050 was one of consistent GROWTH not steady decline. True, Sicily was lost, but this was more than made up for by the conquest of large parts of Italy, plus Bulgaria, Crete, Cyprus, Cilicia, Armenia and Syria as far as Tripoli and Damascus (which was briefly recaptured by the Romans in 976).

After this, causes of decline are easy to find, but these are largely due to a weakening, not strengthening, of Imperial control. The army was starved of funds by a court bureaucracy fearful of a millitary coup, leaving the Empire open to invasion by the Turks. After this, the Komnenid Emperors had to contend with an emerging west led by Hungary and Sicily, as well as the slow erosion of Anatolian territory, the Empire's heartland and richest region since Caesar's time. Under the circumstances, it is surprising the Komnenoi were able to regain as much territory as they did.

More incompetent Emperors followed, leading to the Fourth Crusade, which, as I'm sure you're aware, tore out the Empire's heart. In Republican times, Romanitas would have collapsed following the loss of Rome- witness the demoralisation in Pompey's army and the senators who accompanied it after abandoning Rome to Caesar in 49BC. By contrast, the "Byzantines" were able to keep their Roman identity intact until the very end. As late as the early fourteenth century, a recovery seemed plausible, even likely. But after this, a series of disastrous Emperors, civil wars, and unlucky events beyond Byzantine control, such as the collapse of Mongol control over the Turks and the Black Death, made final collapse inevitable.
 
I based my argument on OBSERVED PERFORMANCE, of course. And, I'm afraid your bit about paradise lies firmly in your imagination, where paradise actually lies, I guess, so maybe it isn't SO inappropriate. Of course the Republic was error-prone and corrupt. All I've ever claimed is that the Empire was EVEN WORSE than the Republic before its failure to warlorddom, corruptionwise, smartswise, and persistencewise, and how it treated its little people.

Do you have ANY concrete evidence that this is the case? This is purely an assertion. The Empire fell to massive external attack. Pictures of vague moral decay are slightly hysterical and most certainly highly outdated scholarship.

By ratio of size, the Republic certainly faced much bigger threats and persisted and innovated in the face of them, mostly managing to keep the borders advancing as well. They even managed to move from strict land-orientation to owning the Med in the Punic Wars, QUITE the change in thinking. By contrast, the Empire failed to develop any answer to the light, fast nomad horse raiders that pressured its borders over a millenium. The Empire's borders were being nibbled at

The Empire had less potential for expansion, it proved perfectly capable of doing it. The Empire defeated nomad raiders on plenty of occassions, such as in the second and third centures. What it faced in the fifth century was raiders and considerably more powerful Germanic neighbours, as well as a massively more powerful Eastern neighbour.

That's not actually true. Remember, there were classical democracies in Greece, and most of them had vigorous multiparty systems, with exceptions like the first representative democracy, which probably failed to empire for lack of an opposition party. Rome didn't have political parties, but it did have liberal and conservative politicians. Except, that's not really what I'm talking about here. One of the less-appreciated features of our Constitution is its parceling out of power between three poles of power. Even though it's just different high elites, the competitiveness turns out to be enough to make this in practice utterly key. Sparta had that in its constitution, and Rome learned from them, and was founded already with a two-way balance between King Romulus and the Senate. It was a five-way balance by the time the Republic failed.

You really do live in a funny grand narrative world. Athenian democracy involved a limited citizenry, and the system depended on their tribes. Like other systems power was closer linked to land and property. Although debate was indeed more open. The rest of what you say is a contrived string of links of limited validity.

Yep, I concede that the Roman and Chinese Empires and European monarchies lasted a LONG time - but it was a static long time which only served their rulers well, at the expense of their slowly shrinking masses.

Yes, the Chinese invented nothing, Europe completely failed to develop anything under monarch - unless you count banking, navigation, military tactics, artistic innovation and eventually modern philosophy and the industrial revolution.
 
I based my argument on OBSERVED PERFORMANCE, of course.

Yes, you have stared a lot to pretty maps. What about reading the text?

And, I'm afraid your bit about paradise lies firmly in your imagination, where paradise actually lies, I guess, so maybe it isn't SO inappropriate. Of course the Republic was error-prone and corrupt. All I've ever claimed is that the Empire was EVEN WORSE than the Republic before its failure to warlorddom, corruptionwise, smartswise, and persistencewise, and how it treated its little people.

Read what I actually wrote, not what you think I wrote. I stated that Roman republic was based on clientelarism and not on merit like you think. And, by the way, it was during the empire that a burocracy made of people chosen for their competence was started...

Either you haven't actually read them, or you're trying to discredit the evidence and arguments. Which is it? It's the thing I hate most about politics and DC. So, remember, Galileo was a heretic, and that bomb that off went over Japan was illusion because Hitler said it was all Jewish science. NOT.

I've read both the authors you named, but I took enough time to read about them too. And pray tell me: since Polybius was a cliens of the Scipio family doesn't this mean that I've to be wary of his opinions about Scipio and that I should check them with another indipendent source? Common sense says yes, but, of course, you know better.
The main thing to remember when reading an historiographic record (ancient or modern) is to check it out with others indipendent records. Never trust blindly anyone!
 
I've never really understood why their are so many "Roman Empire Exist To Present Day" AH stories. Could they realistically survive to today, with much the same society as they had in ancient times?

And, I don't think they could have conquerd the whole world anyway. Although it would be intresting to see them go to war with the Monguls...
 
Without commenting on your specific arguments, I will say that I agree with your general argument. Our general idea that progress to our level is likely or 'natural' is a feature of our civilization that we have for cultural and historical reasons and not a neutral response to the evidence.

We think that the upward and onward progress of the Roman Empire (or China or whatever) was what should have happened and it just got derailed by some contingent historical factors. In truth its probably the contingent historical factors that account for the West getting to where its gotten.

Now, I think there's a good case to be made for 'natural' historical progress, but only over the *very* long run.
 
I've never really understood why their are so many "Roman Empire Exist To Present Day" AH stories. Could they realistically survive to today, with much the same society as they had in ancient times?

And, I don't think they could have conquerd the whole world anyway. Although it would be intresting to see them go to war with the Monguls...

Just create a timeline where both powers are feeling expansionist at the saem time, and we can have a Rome vs Mongols war.
 

General Zod

Banned
Could they realistically survive to today, with much the same society as they had in ancient times?

No, they would not. Significant evolution of their society and economy is part of the reason why they would survive to today as a state and civilization (despite stereotype, Imperial China saw a string of significant innovations until rather late in its history). Again, come see the thread and cooperative TL I've started, it tries to take such concerns into full consideration, as it explores a plausible best-case for the Romans (while it flatly refuses the arbitrary and IMO ridiculous assumption that big centralized empires ought to get stagnant or collapse by their very nature).

And, I don't think they could have conquerd the whole world anyway.

The whole world would indeed be hellish difficult (and technologically impossible anyway until rather into the industrial age at the very least) if nothing else because a steadily expansionistic and modernizing Imperial Rome would most likely push Imperial China to evolve the same way. So in the end you would get a world much like the Cold War blocs, only with the rival Romasphere and Chinasphere blocs mostly made up of big imperial states with a constellation of minor vassals, and some neutral buffer states in the middle. Rather less likely, but definitely possible that India, or Japan again pulling a Meji, or breakway Roman colonies in North America a la ARW, might become the third superpower. On the other hand, A steadily modernizing an expansionistic Rome would have established an irontight political and socio-economic grip over all of Europe, North Africa, and the Middle East, and could have very easily grabbed big chunks of Central Asia, India, and Africa, and/or colonized most of all of the Americas.

Although it would be intresting to see them go to war with the Monguls...

More likely a rival expansionist China, who can match Rome in pretty much any way. If both Rome and China steadily modernize, expand, and get stronger, the Central Asian nomads would be crushed in the vise. Roman legions with cannons would kiss goodbye to Mongol hordes, and even legions with Middle Ages heavy cavalry and archers and Roman military efficiency would be a rather huge headache to any would-be Attila or Genghis Khan. Of course, you can match Rome against the Yuan Empire, but it was basically China with a funny hat. But Mongols are essentially screwed in any Romewank TL, since it means Rome keeps its best military efficiency and most likely it has mastered the military technological improvements it needed to crush the Central Asian nomads decisively by the 13th Century (you need to plot substantial acceleration from lack of the european Dark Ages in the cultural evolution timeschedule of Eurasia, and again the expectation that big centralized empires would necessarily and soon stagnate because they are empires instead of Balkanized republican city-states is rubbish), and most likely China has been prodded to follow a parallel course.
 
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Response to Cornelius:
I already answered your clientarism point.

Response to Basileus Giorgios:
Actually, I was talking about the early Republic - it wasn't always big. In the early days, it, of course, beat plenty of huge opponents relative to its size that seriously threatened it. So, every Imperial opponent that caused it trouble was hopelessly huge and bad, and every Republican opponent was easy pickins? You're right about Egypt and Macedon (kinda like the Late Roman Empire, eh, bwahaha?).

But, let's take a look at how each dealt with trouble. First, most consuls WERE up to their jobs, were persistent, and understood strategery; and the Senate backing it up was even more so, like our Presidents and Congress. They quickly tried new things and innovated to find answers. They were always improving kit and tactics and strategy, and invented ways of doing best against Gauls, Spaniards, Greek Hoplites, AND Carthaginians (the Hoplites were the dominant military formation for generations until the Republic invented a certain Legion thingie.

Meanwhile, fewer than half of Emperors were personally as good as the usual run of consuls. Responses were more often coordinated by a handful of top advisors and generals who had to hope the Emperor wouldn't stop them, and that court rivals wouldn't lie to make you fall. They had to hope they weren't TOO successful, like Julian and Belisarius were. The word "innovation" was a way of damning a plan; the inventive often had to make something new seem old to get it accepted. If the Emperor was weak, not only might he stop rational action, but he'd be bad at bargaining, like the ones who set the terms for the Goths to come in, and the one who granted them Imperial land.

That kind of difference in approach gave, of course, different results.

Carthage saw itself as a primarily naval power, like Athens and later the UK. They maintained a pretty good professional navy instead of a professional army. And, the Persian Empire predated Rome's, even though it had a Seleucid holiday - I'm not seeing why you'd think Persia got much from Rome, though of course SOME things went both ways.

On my maps, the total turf from 850-1050 looks pretty similar in overall size, just moved around a bunch,


Wozza wrote:
Do you have ANY concrete evidence that this is the case? This is purely an assertion. The Empire fell to massive external attack. Pictures of vague moral decay are slightly hysterical and most certainly highly outdated scholarship.

Effect on little guys: the enforced economic stasis, and religious intolerance, neither of which happened in the Republic. Big picture: the fates of Julian and Belisarius and others succeeding in saving the Empire from said big attacks. Men like Belisarius, meanwhile, were virtually always allowed to do their thing and rewarded with a triumph in the Republic.

Athenian democracy involved a limited citizenry, and the system depended on their tribes. Like other systems power was closer linked to land and property. Although debate was indeed more open. The rest of what you say is a contrived string of links of limited validity.

The classical democracies and the Republic had 100% more voters than the Empire!

Where does my evidence for the, er, power of balance come from?

Well, first, on those maps, where the world's most balanced country conquers huge swathes of some pretty advanced neighbors. From Athens losing to Sparta by really dumb decisions that more balance prevents in more recent democratic countries. From the balanced democratic republican Achaean League doing alot better. From the UK gaining liberties while balanced and losing all public privacy and seeing holes punched in trial by jury and freedom of speech now that the PM in Parliament dominates gummint while the worst American rollbacks were stopped by the Courts.
 
Response to Cornelius:
I already answered your clientarism point.

More like avoided :p

Effect on little guys: the enforced economic stasis, and religious intolerance, neither of which happened in the Republic. Big picture: the fates of Julian and Belisarius and others succeeding in saving the Empire from said big attacks.

The economic stasis (you've finally recognized its existance!) wasn't enforced by anyone. The choice of christianity as main religion was forced by the fact that by Theodosius times (when such decision was taken) christianity was in a dominant position.

Men like Belisarius, meanwhile, were virtually always allowed to do their thing and rewarded with a triumph in the Republic.

IIRC, Belisarius was awarded a triumph...

Well, first, on those maps, where the world's most balanced country conquers huge swathes of some pretty advanced neighbors. From Athens losing to Sparta by really dumb decisions that more balance prevents in more recent democratic countries. From the balanced democratic republican Achaean League doing alot better. From the UK gaining liberties while balanced and losing all public privacy and seeing holes punched in trial by jury and freedom of speech now that the PM in Parliament dominates gummint while the worst American rollbacks were stopped by the Courts.

So, according to your theory, british must be living under an hellish dictatorship: they have lost nearly all their empire...:D

Could they realistically survive to today, with much the same society as they had in ancient times?

No, all societies have to evolve to survive. With the right decisions (but, again, it's easy for us to say this: hindsight is 20/20) the roman empire could have survived a lot more. And in a manner it did it: if you consider the Holy roman empire a legitimate successor, it has endured till the 19th century. Of course it was quite different from Augustus empire :D.
 
Belisarius did get a triumph (the first non-member of the Imperial House to get one in generations), but he also got jerked around a whole lot.
 
Effect on little guys: the enforced economic stasis, and religious intolerance, neither of which happened in the Republic. Big picture: the fates of Julian and Belisarius and others succeeding in saving the Empire from said big attacks. Men like Belisarius, meanwhile, were virtually always allowed to do their thing and rewarded with a triumph in the Republic.

What economic stasis? It was a prosperous, thriving economy until overwhelmed by invaders. Your view is entirely anachronistic. The Roman Empire was incredibly lightly governed by modern standards. Cities were self-governing, and the Imperial government was irrelevant to most peoples' daily lives.

Elite politics were little different - people killed each other. The Republic ended because generals couldn't be given a triumph without taking over, the system was not what you called "balanced." It experiences decades of internal turmoil and repeatedly reverted to one man rule.


The classical democracies and the Republic had 100% more voters than the Empire!

Where does my evidence for the, er, power of balance come from?

Well, first, on those maps, where the world's most balanced country conquers huge swathes of some pretty advanced neighbors. From Athens losing to Sparta by really dumb decisions that more balance prevents in more recent democratic countries. From the balanced democratic republican Achaean League doing alot better. From the UK gaining liberties while balanced and losing all public privacy and seeing holes punched in trial by jury and freedom of speech now that the PM in Parliament dominates gummint while the worst American rollbacks were stopped by the Courts.

You are talking about time periods in which there is not even a clear distinction between internal and external. Empires survive because they develop a working, or balanced as you might put it, relationship between elites at the periphery and those at the centre. They provide the bribes needed to keep the former in line. This has proved possible within a wide range of feudal, imperial, monarchic, oligarchic and even briefly democratic, systems.
 
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