I have been reading bits and pieces about the history of the Viking age. Mostly I am interested in the eastern (Varangian) section of the the Vikings rather than the western (Danelaw, Vinland, etc.), and one thing made me thinking. In OTL, the Scandinavians conquered the Finnish and many Rus tribes, founded Kievan Rus and managed large trade routes down the Volga and the Dniepr rivers even down to Constantinople. However, the Baltic tribes were relatively untouched, except for a few incursions (Apuolė 864 I know of, there were some others, but minor ones). In the latter part of the Viking era, it was even the Scandinavians who got raided by Curonic "vikings". All this time, the relations between the Baltic tribes (mostly the maritime ones, i.e. Curons, Prussians and Latgalians) and the Varangians (Swedes) were tense.
So my question is - if the Baltic tribes embraced the Viking lifestyle earlier, and united with the Swedish vikings in some way (maybe adopting the hierarchial structure and legal system), could this have been enough of a leverage for more Norse-descendent realms to form in Eastern Europe? Could this have improved the Scandinavian-Byzantine trade enough for the Viking realms to last longer? Could this have allowed a Norse-Baltic (or maybe predominantly Baltic) country to emerge 200 years earlier than Lithuania did OTL?
I don't think that more Vikings in the Baltic would allow Varangian states to survive.... as long as they expand south they are going to get assimilated into the much larger Slavic population.
The way to get a recognizably Varangian state in Russia would be for them to not expand south, and only stay in northern Russia (Gardariki). From 800-1000s there were only Finno-Ugric people there, not many Slavs. But if they take Kiev, they basically are doomed to assimilation.
But to answer your question about the Baltic, I think that the Curonians already did adopt the Viking style. They were pagans who conducted extensive raids on the surrounding peoples. So if they expand, there are some more "Varangians." But even if the Curonians adopt every aspect of Varangian culture, they will not be true Varangians, in the eyes of the Suiones, Geats, and Danes.
But the problem will still be that no matter how many Varangians there are, they are outnumbered by the Slavs. So 9 times out of 10 they will be assimilated.
The whole concept of Northern Crusades might change dramatically. It may either become unnecessary, if the Baltic Viking state adtops Christianity in one form or another at around the same time as the other Vikings (either through Sweden or through Kiev); or it may become more of a "fight for survival" for Christianity, if a pagan state in Eastern Europe rises to power way earlier than the Mongols arrive. Though in all likelyhood, economic and cultural pressure from the Christian states might be enough to get that Baltic state to convert without any crusades.
Thanks for the information, by the way
It seem to me you ask two questions:
1. Greater Scandinavian Empire in Eastern Europe
2. Balts becoming Vikings and establish greater empire
and a subquestion:
Crusades
1. The Scandinavians didn't conquer Finland until the 13. century. Novgorod was the early objective - Nestor legend and all that.
But both the West Götaland and Danish royal families had ties to Novgorod and Kiev. Our Valdemar the Great was actually a Kievian Vladimir!
But they got soaked up.
How to make that a stronger Scandinavian presence - keep the Danes out of Western Europe. We had a number of threads on that like Charlemagne not conqering the Saxons or the Western kingsdoms being stronger in their sea-wise defences.
That would give the Danish kings the incentive to go East instead of West. The Norwegians would probably still go into the North Atlantic.
So instead of the Great Heathen Army going to England it goes to the Baltic Shores.
That could make for some Danish Empire building with possibly a better chance of keeping it than some 4-500 years later! The Baltics and Novgorod that is.
2. The Balts and Wendts
were Vikings. And a bad nuisance to Denmark at least in the 11. and 12. century as well as the Swedes.
Sticking to OTL but more Vikingism in the Baltics Denmark especially might be quite badly off. Might even go Wendish.
That would make for some difference - quite interesting.
Crusades:
In relation to 1 - then you'd get probably a Christian Orthodox or Catholic LARGE Denmark around the Baltic/Danish Lake.
Orthodox:
Frankish crusade at some point to bring it back into the fold.
Border warfare?
Catholic:
That would just beat the Franks to it wouldn't it?
Danish crusades in Eastern Europe. "Come spend the winter in Russia hunting heathens, orthodox and any other heresy!"
To 2 - much more for the Catholics to go at!