Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to each and everyone of you. May these holidays and the coming new year be filled with happiness and success.
If nothing else, the Second French Empire should collapse one way or the other (if we're connecting it solely to events portrayed in the TL thus far) for helping to stage a reactionary coup in Mexico to prop up a would-be puppet state. If there is one through line to the whole story, it is the idea that reaction, in the long run, has a particular shelf life.
Sic semper tyrannis, as they say.
More broadly, there are also approximately 1 million timelines on AH.com where monarchies - and the Bonapartes in general - stick around longer than IOTL. One where they still end up thrown out on their ears won't effect things much.
This is a convincing argument. I've been thinking on terms of only the US thus far, but as we open to the wider world I believe a guiding thread would be a necessity. I've envisioned it as, rather, that reaction is inherently self-destructive, almost suicidal. Ultimately it's not
that important a question, I guess, given that the focus will remain in the US, but a French Republic would be more fitting than continued Napoleonic monarchy.
Just to clear this up because I have clearly not presented myself very well. To the point that it seemed that I was making some rather unfortunate equation that I feel a bit ashamed about.
So the issue for me is that marriage was legally (and socially, but is a whole another can of worms) rather unequal, and what ethical implications does that have. Slavery actually only comes into in the sense that it was what made me realize just how screwed up the law was by notice a certain degree of similarity.
As for the bureau(s) I forget about that. Good that we talk about it has been a while.
There's no need to worry, I believe I understood your point, and realize you weren't actually comparing slavery and the legal subordination of wives.
Monarchies drool, republics rule is my blessed opinion.
The winter of discontent in the former CSA… it will be glorious.
Things will get ugly for the aristocrats as they realize that the government they created and then couped is no longer able to protect them.
Napoleon's lineage had their fun in the sun, it seems time to let the Prussian wreaking ball run its course. The republic can have an amazing relationship with the US, and we can also get the original Statue of Liberty along with it in this timeline.
I suppose a Statue of Liberty given to a country that actually upholds those ideals, instead of keeping a part of its population as subjugated second-class citizens, would be better.
Could Austria do just better enough to force a draw at Sadowa with the help of a few former Confederate advisors, then Napoleon III be dumb enough to attack Prussia?
He's toppled a few years early due to his wastefulness (first a loss 8n Mexico , then a draw when he didn’t have to attack)! with no Commune to scare people. Prussia ends up beating both narrowly, they can eventually become Mr Germany. France has its Republic.
While we're focused on the South, sometime in 1865 is when Octavius
Catto successfully pushed OTL to get public transport in Pennsylvania integrated - he is more likely to be successful in more and also probably keep them that way, plus not be assassinated in 1871. Though I think integrated teams are more likely than is. All black team being admitted into the national association, since that allows whites to have some degree of power
It's a tragedy how many talented Black people had their careers cut down by terrorism and murder.
I wonder if Lincoln will endorse greenbacks in the postwar order, the lack of available currency was a big reason for the failure of reconstruction otl.
It occurs to me American history is often decided by tragic pivot points in which we could have become more progressive but fate dealt a poor hand. The most decisive of these in my opinion is the failure of Reconstruction. Not just because it led to a deeply evil regime in the South entrenched itself, but because the racial caste system in the South spread nationwide. Southern racial thought became universal and the ability to divide workers on race secured capital for generations.
If Blacks are instead a class of farmer with roughly equal footing economically to whites then that will have profound ripple effects on American society. If we declare property is no longer sacrosanct by taking plantation land, a real example of wealth redistribution, then we have pushed the needle on American democracy no longer being based on property ownership. Free Labor paves the way for unions and laborism.
It really feels like a cruel joke how the US was seemingly on the path of truly changing for the better, but then Lincoln was assassinated and the bastard Andrew Johnson took charge. The implications of this second Revolution will change the American psyche and values permanently in ways we can scarcely conceive.
I want to get back to the 1790s- French and American republics, not always sitting easily with each other, not always going the same way, but feeding each others' political traditions.
I really want to see what the people who would form OTL's Commune would do as part of a Third Republic that's not born in hock to monarchists and generals, and see how both America and France can inspire each other's radicals.
Ideally we could also see British republicanism have an even greater resurgence than it did OTL- the mid Victorian period was actually a time when the monarchy wasn't that popular. The late nineteenth century was also a time when many people thought the declaration of an Australian republic (probably including New Zealand) was imminent too.
Down with the monarchists, the aristos, and all their weird fans who romanticise people for the blood that runs in their veins.
That connects with the other possibility I was toying with - to have France instead suffer its own more radical revolution. Not a commune victory, but instead of the grudging Republic have a France that truly embraces its revolutionary and democratic past. Getting from there to a British Republic would be interesting too.
On the current discussion .
I will just note that the Bonaparte model of monarchy was very different from the divine rights model.it introduced the concept of the head of state as the Symbol of the nation being the ultimate representative of the people rather then the highest office in the land.
I will also note that emperor max was and remains sorta popular in Mexico.The precedent set by him winning would be bad .countries can't force non democratic rulers on other countries even if said ruler turns out to be popular.but the chances of said precedent becoming a problem is unlikely IF max can figure out how to rule.which imo he wasn't "Mexicos lost Hope" but he wasn't a incompetent frat boy either.from a story pov you can do whatever you want with him especially as he did want a liberal democratic monarchy himself
ultimately, I think this poses an interesting question for red.What is the global "point" of the timeline? the theme is clearly liberty and democracy but in the rest of the world its not black and white as literally slavery vs literally one of the best men to ever live.in fact some of the most groundbreaking progressive good nations were at the same time some of the worst.
I never really considered a "global" theme so to speak. Focused only on the US, the theme I was aiming for was that reaction is inherently self-destructive and that ultimately the arc of history bends towards justice - shown clearly in how each Southern attempt to resist the advance of liberty just sparked a more violent and immediate revolution for liberty. First their resistance destroying the party system and giving rise to the Republicans; then the war allowing for the immediate destruction of slavery; and finally the coup, allowing for their own ultimate perdition.
Which is why I think, if he does get a "good ending" here, it would be him finding himself back home in Austria (possibly via Franz Joseph getting a health scare as
@Odinson suggested a while back which keeps him in Austria long enough so he finds himself in Vienna when all is done and dusted).
Max for all his faults didn't really deserve his OTL ending from what I know. I'll probably spare him no matter what I decide to do with the whole Mexico and France thing in the end... and right now I'm leaning towards full Juarez victory and a French Republic.
I believe that the keeping the French Empire around just doesn’t fit the anti-tyranny theme of this TL. IOTL, the Third French Republic, for all of their flaws, was an actual democracy.
Yes, ultimately the choices that make the most sense are for the French puppet regime to fall and the French monarchy to be replaced by a Republic.
On that note, I think we're getting a bit too off-topic here, especially with how the US wasn't particularly internationalist at this time period (and wouldn't really be internationalist in its foreign policy until the World Wars) being something we need to take into account. Besides, feature creep is something this TL should avoid here at all costs.
Rest assured that the focus will remain in the US, and at most we'll get a couple of international updates amidst far more updates on US internal politics.
Am really late to the party on this one, but hurrah for
the fall of Charleston!
Do wish that Nevada elector made it though lol, but otherwise looking forward to this war's end and on to Reconstruction!
Yeah, I've decided that that Nevada elector makes it here!
How would this more radical ACW affect emancipation in other countries such as Brazil? I remember seeing a post made by a Brazilian here about how Brazil's slave system was comparably worse than in the CSA.
We've hadsome discussions, including how former Confederates might flee to Brazil andthe emperor's daughter might find ways to defeat any attempts at a coup there, which in turn can show her leadership skills and convince him to let her take power when he dies.
It's been a fascinating rthread so far; I'm amazed at how much I'm learning about the militaries in Eurpe as well as the stuff going on in the Americas at this time. I'm sure we'll have lots more cool stuff when Reconstruction starts in the new thread. (And it looks like we'll be able to wrap this up before the 500 pages limit rather easily.)
That indeed has been discussed and there are some interesting possibilities for Brazil, but it's also something to be determined.